Will the birth of a child to Lady Gaga and Michael Polansky be publicly confirmed?

74%
-7% last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the public view count shown on the specific YouTube video page for the official 'Taskmaster Live Stream: GOSH Charity Edition' upload is greater than or equal to 1,000,000 no later than October 15, 2026, otherwise NO. The video's public view count on its YouTube page is the primary resolution source. If the original video is removed before the deadline, archived copies or reputable press reporting of the original upload's view count will be used, and if it is reuploaded under a different URL only the original upload linked from the source counts.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tubefilter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 239 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAbout 650,000 for now, I don't see why it would wait for 1m.
That's how it is
It's just a high quality comedy show and comedy sells and gets viewed by millions never-mind 1 million 🤣
Very good
Given that there's nearly a month until the deadline and the charity angle usually boosts views, I'm betting it crosses 1 million easily.

74%
-7% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

20%
+1% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
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