Will the birth of a child to Lady Gaga and Michael Polansky be publicly confirmed?

74%
-7% last 24h

20%
+1% last 24h
YES if Tom Brady or a person identified by mainstream media as his official representative issues a public statement that explicitly addresses one or more claims in Lars Anderson’s book between September 26, 2026 and no later than October 6, 2026. Otherwise NO. • A qualifying public statement must be published in a freely accessible news outlet or posted on a verified Tom Brady account or a verified account of an identified official representative. • Posts or statements that do not specifically reference the book's claims do not qualify. • Source: major U.S. news outlets, the book’s publisher, or Brady’s verified channels.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against pagesix.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 20%, based on 409 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBrady tends to address controversies head-on. Given the nature of the claims in Anderson’s book, expect a public statement between now and October 6.

74%
-7% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

86%
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53%
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85%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h
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