🌟People·CelebritiesCloses Oct 10
Will Tom Cruise be in GoldDerby's top 5 for Best Actor?
80%
-1% last 24h
423 bets · 7.7K credits1
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PeopleOpened Aug 14 · Results Aug 19
Will Tanya Reynolds be listed in the credits for Ted Lasso Season 4 Episode 3 on August 19?
88%
Stable · last 24h
📊 209 bettors💎 4.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 19🤖 Context
The market required Tanya Reynolds to be listed among the credited performers for the first publicly released version of Ted Lasso Season 4 Episode 3, meaning the streaming release on August 19, 2026, either on Apple TV+’s official episode page or in the episode’s on-screen credits. Contemporaneous coverage of the August 19 streaming release names her in the episode credits: Esquire’s recap identifies Alice as played by Tanya Reynolds, Decider’s cast guide lists Tanya Reynolds as Coach Alice Chilton, NDTV includes her among the new Season 4 cast tied to Episode 3, and an August 19 Substack recap published a still captioned with Tanya Reynolds. Because these dated, independent sources show her as a credited performer for the first public streaming release, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes88%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent contemporaneous sources reporting on Ted Lasso Season 4 Episode 3 (the streaming release on Aug 19, 2026) identify Tanya Reynolds as part of the episode's credited performers. Esquire's episode-3 recap names Alice (Tanya Reynolds) in the coaching trio; Decider's cast guide lists Tanya Reynolds as Coach Alice Chilton; NDTV's episode/cast article lists her among the new Season 4 cast and notes the Episode 3 release; and the Substack recap (Aug 19) includes a still captioned with Tanya Reynolds 'now streaming on Apple TV.' No supplied source contradicts this. Under the arbiter's corroboration rule (three or more independent credible outlets reporting the same concrete, dated outcome), these pages establish that Tanya Reynolds is listed among the credited performers for the first publicly released (streaming) version of S4E3.
Source: alisechaffins.substack.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 88%
- Predictions made
- 209
- Credits staked
- 4,615
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 14, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 19, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- alisechaffins.substack.com, esquire.com, ndtvprofit.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠
It's unlikely Tanya Reynolds will appear, as no credible sources have hinted at her involvement. With only a few days left, I don't expect a surprise credit.
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