Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 27The rule requires the first Nasdaq stock screener reading at or after 15:00 UTC on August 27, 2026 to show Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) ranked among the top five US‑listed companies by market capitalization. The first such reading was at 16:00 UTC on August 27, 2026 and it listed TSM in 6th place with a market cap of $2,198,922,484,149 while the 5th place company, Amazon, had $2,764,963,621,046. Because TSM was ranked sixth and not fifth or better, the condition was not met, so the outcome is no.
How markets are built and settled16%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES if, in the first Nasdaq stock screener reading at or after 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is ranked among the top five companies by market capitalization (rank <= 5). Target reading: first screener reading at or after 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC. Observed reading: screener observed as of 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC (the first reading at/after the target). Screener ranks (observed): #1 NVIDIA (NVDA) — $5,458,794,000,000; #2 Apple (AAPL) — $4,588,410,192,000; #3 Alphabet (GOOGL) — $4,169,084,700,000; #4 Microsoft (MSFT) — $3,715,074,664,602; #5 Amazon (AMZN) — $2,764,963,621,046; #6 Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) — $2,198,922,484,149. Comparison: TSM is ranked #6 (worse than #5), so it is not among the top five. The tie condition does not apply because TSM's market cap ($2,198,922,484,149) does not equal the #5 company's cap ($2,764,963,621,046), and TSM is present in the screener. Therefore the market resolves NO.
Source: nasdaq.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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