Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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YES if SpaceXAI publicly releases Grok 4.7 (not an invitation-only closed beta) at any time no later than August 30, 2026. Releases limited only by a paid subscription tier (including high-cost tiers) count as public releases. Resolution will follow SpaceXAI's public announcements and mainstream tech reporting, and final settlement will mirror Kalshi's official outcome for ticker KXGROK-GROK47-26AUG31.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 58%, based on 33 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that there's only about 10 days left, and considering SpaceX's track record for timely releases, I'd bet on them announcing Grok 4.7 soon enough to meet the deadline.

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