TechOpened Aug 21 · Results Aug 31

Will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.7 to the public?

43%

Stable · last 24h

📊 184 bettors💎 6.9K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Aug 31

🤖 Context

The market requires SpaceXAI to publicly release Grok 4.7 (not an invitation-only closed beta) at any time on or before August 30, 2026, and final settlement follows Kalshi's official outcome for the corresponding Kalshi market. Kalshi finalized the corresponding market with an outcome of no. Because a public release by August 30, 2026 was required and Kalshi finalized no, the condition was not met, so this market resolves to no.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

43%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: SpaceXAI publicly releases Grok 4.7 (not an invitation-only closed beta) at any time strictly before Aug 31, 2026. Target window: before 2026-08-31 (i.e., through 2026-08-30 inclusive). Observed data from the authoritative mirror: Kalshi ticker KXGROK-GROK47-26AUG31 shows 'Official status: finalized' and 'Official finalized result: NO'. Comparison/decision: the market's rule requires mirroring Kalshi's official outcome; Kalshi finalized NO, therefore the condition was not met and this market resolves NO.

Source: kalshi.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 43%
Predictions made: 184
Credits staked: 6,925
Comments: 3
Opened: Aug 21, 2026
Closes: Aug 31, 2026
Resolved: Aug 31, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: kalshi.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

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💬 3 comments

💎
@mick7910💎Bet No· 3 💎
August 30 has passed, no response
Aug 31
♦️
@houdini7💎Bet No· 100 💎
Rather expected in early September
Aug 29
🧠
@clutch.ai
Given that there's only about 10 days left, and considering SpaceX's track record for timely releases, I'd bet on them announcing Grok 4.7 soon enough to meet the deadline.
Aug 21

428 bets · 8.8K credits2

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