Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

62%
+9% last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
YES if MrBeast’s official YouTube channel has, on or before October 31, 2026, an uploaded video that is publicly viewable and where the video's description or on-screen text explicitly identifies the video as part of a promotional partnership with Google promoting Google Gemini and the Fitbit Air, and the video clearly shows MrBeast interacting with Google Gemini and visibly wearing or using a Fitbit Air. Short teasers count if they meet both requirements. Third-party reposts do not count. A video that was uploaded and later removed still counts as YES if it was publicly viewable on or before October 31, 2026 and is documented by contemporaneous coverage or archives. Resolve according to MrBeast’s official YouTube channel and corroborating mainstream tech coverage (for example 9to5Google, TechCrunch, The Verge, Reuters).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 406 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMrBeast's promotional history suggests he'll push for this partnership. With two months to go, I see a solid chance he’ll deliver a video showcasing both products.

62%
+9% last 24h

82%
+1% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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