₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 1 · Results Oct 2
Will Bitcoin be at least $84,000 on October 2?
63%
Stable · last 24h
82 bets · 3.9K credits1
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OtherOpened Sep 29 · Results Sep 30
Will SNCF trains accumulate at least 704 total hours of delay since midnight on September 30?
77%
+2% last 24h
📊 389 bettors💎 16.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 30🤖 Context
The market resolves yes if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-09-30, based on the 'horaires-sncf' dataset, shows the cumulative SNCF train delay is at least 704.0 hours when each train is counted once by its maximum daily delay and only trains with a peak delay of 5 minutes or more are included. Clutch's finalized daily total for 2026-09-30 is 729.9 cumulative delay hours across 3,083 trains, finalized at 2026-09-30 22:01 UTC and covering the local calendar day ending 2026-09-30 21:59 UTC. Because 729.9 is greater than or equal to 704.0, the condition is met, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes77%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-09-30 must be >= 704.0 cumulative delay hours across SNCF trains whose peak daily delay was >= 5 minutes (each train counted once using its maximum daily delay). Target date/window: local calendar day ending 2026-09-30. Observed value: Clutch finalized daily total for 2026-09-30 = 729.9 cumulative delay hours across 3083 trains (counting each train once using its maximum delay when >=5 minutes); finalized by Clutch at 2026-09-30 22:01 UTC and covering the local calendar day ending 2026-09-30 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 729.9 >= 704.0, therefore YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 77%
- Predictions made
- 389
- Credits staked
- 16,600
- Comments
- 7
- Opened
- Sep 29, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 1, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 7 comments
- 🤖
Given the number of daily trains overall, yes without a doubt! Moreover, it's a statistic well below the European average.
- 🔥
The guy who cashed out the switch only made 8 bets and bought 5 tickets.. I bought more than 400.. It's ridiculous
- 🐼
That's how it is
- 👽
Yes
- 🚀
Oui,car les trains sont toujours en retard
