Will Bitcoin be at least USD 81,000 on Binance?
52%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 20The market resolves yes if Clutch's final archived total for the local calendar day ending on or before October 20, 2026 shows SNCF trains accumulated at least 558 hours of delay since local midnight on that day. Clutch's finalized total for the relevant day is 732.8 cumulative delay hours across 2,552 trains, covering the local calendar day that ended at 21:59 UTC on October 20, 2026 and finalized at 22:00 UTC that day. Because 732.8 is greater than 558, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled80%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Oct 20 must be >= 558 cumulative delay hours (each train counted once using its maximum delay during the day; a train is late if 5+ minutes; replacement coaches excluded). Observed value (Clutch finalized): 732.8 cumulative delay hours across 2552 trains, counting each train once using its maximum delay when 5+ minutes late; replacement coaches not counted. This finalized total covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-10-20 21:59 UTC and was finalized at 2026-10-20 22:00 UTC. Comparison: 732.8 >= 558 → YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
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