₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will Bitcoin be at least USD 81,000 on Binance?
53%
Stable · last 24h
568 bets · 23.9K credits6
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OtherOpened Sep 17 · Results Sep 18
Will SNCF trains accumulate at least 182 hours of delay on September 18?
88%
Stable · last 24h
📊 440 bettors💎 17.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 18🤖 Context
The market pays yes if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than September 18, 2026 shows at least 182.0 cumulative SNCF train delay hours, counting each train at most once and only trains that were 5 minutes or more late. Clutch's finalized archive for that day shows 205.1 total delay hours across 809 SNCF trains, finalized at 22:01 UTC on September 18, 2026. Because 205.1 is greater than 182.0 the condition is met, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes88%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived cumulative SNCF train delay for the local calendar day ending 2026-09-18 must be >= 182.0 hours. Target day/instant: local calendar day ending 2026-09-18 (data states it covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-09-18 21:59 UTC). Observed value: Clutch's finalized archived total = 205.1 cumulative delay hours (finalized 2026-09-18 22:01 UTC), counting each train once with its latest reported delay when >=5 minutes late, across 809 trains. Comparison: 205.1 >= 182.0 → YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 88%
- Predictions made
- 440
- Credits staked
- 17,630
- Comments
- 7
- Opened
- Sep 17, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 18, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 19, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 7 comments
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