🌀OtherCloses Oct 24 · Results Oct 25
Will at least 33 gift cards be claimed in the Clutch shop on October 24 (UTC)?
45%
Stable · last 24h
311 bets · 15.8K credits6
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OtherOpened Oct 11 · Results Oct 12
Will SNCF have at least 655 hours of cumulative train delay on October 12?
67%
Stable · last 24h
📊 633 bettors💎 27.6K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 12🤖 Context
The market required that Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day 12 October 2026 be at least 655.0 hours of cumulative train delay. Clutch's finalized archived total for that day was 520.8 cumulative delay hours across 2,622 trains, finalized at 22:00 UTC on 12 October 2026 and covering the local day through 21:59 UTC on 12 October 2026. Because 520.8 is below 655.0, the threshold was not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for local calendar day 2026-10-12 (cumulative train delay from local midnight through the end of Oct 12, each train counted once using its maximum delay that day; a train counts as late only if ≥5 minutes; cars TER excluded) is >= 655.0 hours. Target day: 2026-10-12. Observed value (Clutch finalized daily total): 520.8 cumulative delay hours across 2622 trains; finalized by Clutch at 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC and covering the local calendar day ending 2026-10-12 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 520.8 < 655.0, so the condition is not met. Therefore outcome: NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 67%
- Predictions made
- 633
- Credits staked
- 27,627
- Comments
- 5
- Opened
- Oct 11, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 12, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 13, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 5 comments
- 💰
A major event would be needed to hit +655H. The peak on 09/28 (761 h) was due to the start of a national inter-union strike. Last Monday (10/05), despite a black day combining accidents and major works on the North axis, the counter stopped at 654 h.
- 💰
520H for 10/12..... An easy win!
- 🦊
The SNCF is on time, that's a miracle lol
- 🐼
They are currently 700 behind, so yes.
- 🔥
Always late, no surprise!
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