₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will Bitcoin be at least USD 81,000 on Binance?
49%
Stable · last 24h
273 bets · 10.8K credits6
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OtherOpened Sep 21 · Results Sep 22
Will SNCF have at least 308 hours of total train delay on September 22?
86%
Stable · last 24h
📊 425 bettors💎 18K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 22🤖 Context
The market rule uses Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on September 22, 2026 and pays yes if the cumulative SNCF train delay that day is at least 308.0 hours, counting each train once by its maximum daily delay and including only trains that were 5 minutes or more late. Clutch's finalized archive for that day shows 698.2 cumulative delay hours across 2,794 trains, finalized at 22:01 UTC on September 22, 2026. Because 698.2 is greater than 308.0, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes86%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on 2026-09-22 must be >= 308.0 hours. Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-09-22. Observed value (from Clutch finalized archive): 698.2 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 2794 trains (each train counted once using its maximum delay reached during the day when 5+ minutes late). Observation covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-09-22 21:59 UTC and was finalized by Clutch at 2026-09-22 22:01 UTC. Comparison: 698.2 >= 308.0, so the condition is met. Outcome: YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 86%
- Predictions made
- 425
- Credits staked
- 18,018
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Sep 21, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 23, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 6 comments
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