Will SNCF have at least 2875 delayed trains on November 10?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day Tuesday, November 10, 2026 shows at least 2875 distinct SNCF trains ran 5 minutes or more late between local midnight and no later than 00:00 on November 11, 2026, otherwise NO. • Count each train only once: distinct trains whose maximum delay on that local calendar day was 5 minutes or more. • SNCF replacement coaches (cars TER, road buses) are not counted. • Only occurrences from November 9, 2026 or later count. • Source: SNCF official open-data feed on Transport.data.gouv.fr.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 802 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

60%

Predictions made

802

Credits staked

30,760

Comments

6

Opened

Nov 9, 2026

Closes

Nov 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 11, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 60% and NO 40%, based on 802 predictions and 30.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 2875 delayed trains on November 10?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 2875 delayed trains on November 10?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.