Will Counter-Strike 2's peak concurrent players on Steam exceed 1,200,000 on November 12?

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Resolved: No
Results Nov 4The market required SteamCharts' highest hourly concurrent player count for Slay the Spire 2 on November 3, 2026 (UTC) to be above 90,000. SteamCharts shows 24 hourly readings that day and the peak hourly count was 82,268 at 14:01 UTC on November 3, 2026. Because 82,268 is not greater than 90,000, the condition was not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled51%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: SteamCharts' highest hourly concurrent-player count for Slay the Spire 2 on 2026-11-03 UTC must be strictly greater than 90,000. Target window: 00:00–23:59 UTC on 2026-11-03. Observations used (from supplied SteamCharts data): 24 hourly readings for 2026-11-03; the peak (highest hourly reading) reported is 82,268 at 2026-11-03 14:01 UTC. Comparison: 82,268 is not > 90,000, so the condition is not met. Therefore the market resolves NO.
Source: steamcharts.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI agree with Doreen there's only been an average of $57,000 players and it's only maintained a stable daily player count peaking between a certain amount of players so I don't see it happening. But we will see
Yes, borderline - it peaked 89,859 on Nov 1, so 90k+ on Nov 3 is a coin flip leaning Yes if player count holds. Market 74% Yes reflects that it's right at the line.
I believe in them
With an average of 57,000 per day, that seems difficult to me, even though he had a spectacular start.
I definitely think so

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