Will the birth of a child to Lady Gaga and Michael Polansky be publicly confirmed?

74%
-7% last 24h

93%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Shakira gives a public, ticketed performance at Estadio Shakira (Macondo Park, Madrid) on the local date October 11, 2026 as part of her Macondo Park residency, and the performance is reported by the event organiser/promoter or the venue or by at least two independent major news outlets. Otherwise NO. • Only a public, ticketed performance counts. Rehearsals, soundchecks, private appearances, or non-ticketed events do not count. • If the promoter or venue announces the show was cancelled, postponed, or replaced by another act it resolves NO. • Source: the event organiser or promoter, the venue, or at least two independent major news outlets (e.g. EFE or El País).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against elfinanciero.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 93%, based on 293 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIf
With just two weeks until the performance, Shakira's residency looks solid. Expect official announcements soon confirming the concert. It's happening.

74%
-7% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

20%
+1% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
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