Will Tom Cruise be in GoldDerby's top 5 for Best Actor?

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YES if a trial hearing for the criminal charges against Russell Brand took place on October 12, 2026, otherwise NO. • Only a substantive trial hearing on October 12 counts. A purely administrative or preparatory hearing does not count. • Events before 3:31 PM UTC on October 6, 2026 do not count. • Source: an official court schedule or a prosecuting-authority statement, or independent reporting by at least two major news outlets (for example BBC, Reuters, The Guardian, AP).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against gala.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeframe and the requirement for multiple news outlets to confirm a substantive trial, odds are low for an actual hearing on the 12th. I'd bet against it.

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