Will the birth of a child to Lady Gaga and Michael Polansky be publicly confirmed?

70%
-11% last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, the event organiser (Ibai Llanos), the official La Velada V event or ticketing page, or an organiser press release publishes a participant list or official fight card that includes "RoRo". Listings under a variant of the same stage name count if reputable Spanish outlets unambiguously identify the same creator, for example El País, RTVE, El Mundo, Marca or AS. If the organiser lists RoRo and they later withdraw before the deadline, the initial listing still resolves YES. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against huffingtonpost.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 421 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith a month to go, Ibai tends to promote his events heavily. Given RoRo's popularity, I expect him to appear on the official card before the deadline. This is likely to happen.

70%
-11% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

20%
+1% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
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