Will Renfe have at least 420 long-distance trains delayed on September 15?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than September 15, 2026 shows at least 420 distinct Renfe long‑distance trains whose latest reported delay that day was 5 or more minutes, counting each train once. Otherwise NO. Preferred authoritative data are Renfe's official real‑time open‑data feed and Clutch's finalized archived total computed from it, and independent public reporting that reproduces or confirms the same finalized daily count is also acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 26 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

70%

Predictions made

26

Credits staked

955

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 14, 2026

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 15, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 70% and NO 30%, based on 26 predictions and 955 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Renfe have at least 420 long-distance trains delayed on September 15?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Renfe have at least 420 long-distance trains delayed on September 15?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.