₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 29
Will Binance's BTC/USDT price be at least $80,000 on October 29?
83%
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OtherOpened Aug 9 · Results Aug 10
Will Renfe have at least 260 delayed long-distance trains?
56%
Stable · last 24h
📊 161 bettors💎 4.2K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 10🤖 Context
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on Monday, August 10, 2026 shows at least 260 distinct Renfe long-distance trains ran 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and no later than August 10, 2026, according to Renfe's official real-time public data feed or an independent reconstruction of Renfe's public data. Each distinct train identifier is counted at most once for the day. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on 2026-08-10 must show at least 260 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay was >= 5 minutes between local midnight and the target. Target window/date: local calendar day ending 2026-08-10 (data states this covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-08-10 21:59 UTC). Observed value: Clutch finalized the daily total at 2026-08-10 22:00 UTC and reports 494 trains "seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was 5+ minutes." Comparison: 494 >= 260, so the condition is satisfied. Decisive evidence is Clutch's finalized daily total for 2026-08-10 = 494.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 56%
- Predictions made
- 161
- Credits staked
- 4,185
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 9, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 10, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 11, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 24 💎
With 306 late trains already logged today, hitting 260 tomorrow seems inevitable. Renfe's efficiency isn't known for improvement overnight.
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