Will Binance's BTC/USDT price be at least $80,000 on October 29?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 5YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 5, 2026 shows the cumulative delay across Renfe long-distance trains since local midnight, counting each train once using its latest reported delay and including only trains whose final recorded delay is at least 5 minutes, is at least 106.0 hours. Delays reported in minutes or seconds are converted to decimal hours (minutes/60, seconds/3600), and the market resolves NO if the finalized archived total is strictly less than 106.0 hours. Resolution will use Renfe's official real-time feed as archived by Clutch, though independent archived sources that reproduce the same final total are acceptable.
How markets are built and settled35%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-08-05 must show the cumulative delay hours (decimal hours) across Renfe long-distance trains whose final recorded delay in that day's archive is >= 5 minutes, counting each train once using its latest reported delay, is at least 106.0 hours. Observed decisive data from Clutch (finalized): 146.5 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 489 trains, counting each train once using its latest reported delay when 5+ minutes late. Clutch finalized this daily total at 2026-08-05 22:00 UTC; it covers the local calendar day ending 2026-08-05 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 146.5 hours >= 106.0 hours, so the market condition is satisfied -> YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith 117.8 hours already racked up, it's likely Renfe will hit at least 118 hours by tomorrow's close. Cumulative delays are trending up, so I'm betting on YES.

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