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Will Bitcoin be at least $84,000 on October 2?
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OtherOpened Sep 29 · Results Sep 30
Will Renfe accumulate at least 227 hours of total train delay on September 30?
90%
+4% last 24h
📊 175 bettors💎 4.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 30🤖 Context
The market requires that Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than September 30, 2026 shows at least 227.0 cumulative hours of delay across Renfe long- and medium-distance trains, counting each train once by its maximum delay and only counting trains whose peak delay reached at least 5 minutes. Clutch's finalized archived total for the local day ending September 30, 2026 is 248.9 cumulative delay hours across 806 trains, each train counted once using its maximum delay when it reached 5 minutes or more, finalized at 22:00 UTC and covering the local calendar day through 21:59 UTC on September 30, 2026. Because 248.9 hours is greater than or equal to the 227.0 hour threshold, the condition is met, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes90%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived cumulative train-delay total for the local calendar day ending 2026-09-30 (each train counted once using its maximum delay during the day; include Renfe long- and medium-distance trains; only trains whose recorded peak delay >= 5 minutes are counted) is >= 227.0 hours (threshold inclusive). Observed: Clutch finalized daily total = 248.9 cumulative delay hours across 806 trains, counting each train once using its maximum delay when 5+ minutes late; finalized by Clutch at 2026-09-30 22:00 UTC and covering the local calendar day ending 2026-09-30 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 248.9 hours >= 227.0 hours, so the market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 90%
- Predictions made
- 175
- Credits staked
- 4,463
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 29, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 1, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given recent totals, hitting 227 hours seems likely. The data from previous weekdays shows a consistent trend above that mark. Expect delays to stack up on the 30th.
