🌀OtherCloses Oct 24 · Results Oct 25
Will at least 33 gift cards be claimed in the Clutch shop on October 24 (UTC)?
47%
Stable · last 24h
296 bets · 15.1K credits6
Details →
OtherOpened Oct 19 · Results Oct 23
Will Paris record a maximum temperature of at least 16 °C on October 22?
59%
Stable · last 24h
📊 386 bettors💎 15.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 23🤖 Context
The market required the official daily maximum temperature at the Paris-Charles de Gaulle airport weather station on 22 October 2026 to be at least 16 °C, reported in whole degrees. The station recorded a maximum of 15 °C on 22 October 2026, based on the available daily report (48 observations, last at 23:30 local time). Because 15 °C is less than 16 °C, the condition was not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: the official Paris-Charles de Gaulle (LFPG) station daily maximum on 2026-10-22 must be >= 16 °C. Target date: 2026-10-22. Observed value from the supplied Iowa Environmental Mesonet data: Thursday 2026-10-22 recorded max 15 °C (48 observations, last at 23:30 local). That line is present and not marked 'NOT usable to settle'. Comparison: 15 °C < 16 °C, so the condition is not met. Therefore the correct settlement is NO.
Source: mesonet.agron.iastate.eduKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 59%
- Predictions made
- 386
- Credits staked
- 15,306
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Oct 19, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 23, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- mesonet.agron.iastate.edu
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
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