₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will Bitcoin be at least USD 81,000 on Binance?
49%
Stable · last 24h
274 bets · 10.9K credits6
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OtherOpened Sep 21 · Results Sep 25
Will Paris reach at least 24 °C on September 24?
73%
Stable · last 24h
📊 563 bettors💎 18.5K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 25🤖 Context
The rule required that the recorded daily maximum temperature for Paris on 24 September 2026, defined as the highest temperature observed during the Paris local day (00:00:00–23:59:59), be at least 24.0 °C according to Open‑Meteo's numeric daily maximum. Open‑Meteo reported a daily maximum of 23.2 °C for Paris on 24 September 2026. Because 23.2 °C is below 24.0 °C, the condition is not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No73%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: recorded daily maximum temperature for Paris on 2026-09-24 (Paris local day 00:00:00–23:59:59) >= 24.0 °C. Open‑Meteo daily record (preferred source) provides a numeric recorded value for 2026-09-24: temperature_2m_max = 23.2 °C (recorded). Comparison: 23.2 °C < 24.0 °C, so the condition is not met. Open‑Meteo supplied a numeric recorded daily maximum for the target date, so no fallback source was needed.
Source: api.open-meteo.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 73%
- Predictions made
- 563
- Credits staked
- 18,520
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Sep 21, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 25, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- api.open-meteo.com, open-meteo.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 6 comments
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