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Will at least 33 gift cards be claimed in the Clutch shop on October 24 (UTC)?
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OtherOpened Oct 5 · Results Oct 9
Will Paris reach at least 16 °C on October 8?
69%
Stable · last 24h
📊 700 bettors💎 28.8K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 9🤖 Context
The rule required the recorded daily maximum temperature in Paris on 8 October 2026 to be at least 16.0 °C to resolve yes. Open-Meteo reports a daily maximum of 15.8 °C for Paris on that date. Because 15.8 °C is below the 16.0 °C threshold, the condition was not met and the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No69%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Paris daily maximum temperature on 2026-10-08 (Paris local date) >= 16.0 °C. Source priority: Open-Meteo. Observed Open-Meteo daily max for 2026-10-08 = 15.8 °C (recorded). Comparison: 15.8 °C < 16.0 °C, so the threshold was not met. Therefore outcome = NO.
Source: api.open-meteo.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 69%
- Predictions made
- 700
- Credits staked
- 28,824
- Comments
- 9
- Opened
- Oct 5, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 5, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 9, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- api.open-meteo.com, open-meteo.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 9 comments
- ⚔️
According to the official weather reports from Météo-France, the maximum temperature recorded in Paris (Paris-Montsouris station) on October 8, 2026, did not reach the threshold of 16 °C, which validates the result "No" for this market.
- 🚀
Normally it's validated, why is it lost?
- 🔥
There is an error, the max temperature in Paris on October 8 was 16.3 degrees, so the answer was yes https://previmet.com/fr/france/observations/synop/station-07156-paris-montsouris?date=2026-10-08
- 🔥
It's going to be close
- 🏆
Yes, since Météo France is forecasting more than 16°C.
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