TechOpened Sep 11 · Results Sep 14

Will OpenAI's market share be above 24%?

73%

Stable · last 24h

📊 238 bettors💎 6.8K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Sep 14

🤖 Context

This market required Kalshi's market KXOPENSHARE-26SEP14-24 to be shown on Kalshi as finalized with an official outcome of yes, using OpenRouter's 'AI Market Share' rankings for the week of September 10, 2026 and the Monday 10:00 AM ET values. Kalshi shows KXOPENSHARE-26SEP14-24 as finalized and its official finalized result is no. Because the official result is not yes the contract resolves no.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

73%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP14-24 is shown on Kalshi as 'finalized' with an official outcome of YES. Target/window: Kalshi's official finalized result for the market (which per the market uses OpenRouter 'AI Market Share' week of Sep 10, 2026, Monday 10:00 AM ET values). Observed value(s) from supplied Kalshi state: Official status = finalized; Official finalized result = NO. Comparison: The official finalized result is NO (not YES), therefore the contract does not meet the YES condition and resolves NO.

Source: kalshi.com