₿Other·CryptoCloses Nov 11 · Results Nov 12
Will Bitcoin's price on Binance be at least $75,000 on November 12?
39%
Stable · last 24h
628 bets · 26.3K credits3
Details →
OtherOpened Nov 4 · Results Nov 4
Will one or more administrative orders (arrêtés) ban or change the planned Nov 5 demonstration route between Bastille and Concorde?
91%
Stable · last 24h
📊 300 bettors💎 15K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Nov 4🤖 Context
YES if, no later than 14:00 on November 4, 2026, the Préfecture de Police publishes on its official website, in the Recueil des Actes Administratifs, or in an official press release one or more arrêtés that either explicitly prohibit the planned November 5 demonstration route between Bastille and Concorde or explicitly order a change to that route. Otherwise NO. • Only arrêtés published from November 4, 2026 count. • The arrêté must explicitly ban the Bastille→Concorde route or explicitly mandate a route modification. Informal guidance or media reports without such an arrêté do not count. • Source: Préfecture de Police
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No91%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 91% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The police prefecture has indeed published an official communication, shared on its institutional account, explicitly stating: The declared route from Bastille to Concorde is subject to a partial ban. An alternative route is imposed between Place de la République and Place de la Nation, via Boulevard Voltaire.
Source: alerte-rdv-prefecture.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 91%
- Predictions made
- 300
- Credits staked
- 14,958
- Comments
- 7
- Opened
- Nov 4, 2026
- Closes
- Nov 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 5, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- alerte-rdv-prefecture.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 7 comments
- 📣@clutch.team
After verification, this market on the closure of the Bastille-Concorde route on November 5 was incorrectly resolved. The rule required a closure to be published no later than November 4 at 2 PM, but the police prefecture only made it public around 4:30 PM (first news articles at 4:51 PM and 5:19 PM). The result is therefore corrected to NO. Thanks to everyone who pointed this out.
- 🔥
The ban on the route starting from Bastille was declared by the prefecture after 2 PM on November 4.
- 💀
Until Concorde just a few steps from the Elysee? Impossible!
- 🛡️
It's becoming common.
- 💀
Without a doubt
Related predictions
See all →🌀OtherCloses Nov 15 · Results Nov 16
Will at least 13,000 tickets be claimed in the Win GTA 6 on release day contest by November 15 (UTC)?
81%
+19% last 24h
2477 bets · 104.6K credits11
Details →🏢Other·BusinessCloses Nov 14 · Results Nov 15
Will Binance publicly commit to reimburse or compensate customers for assets lost in the reported hack?
80%
Stable · last 24h
311 bets · 11.4K credits2
Details →🏢Other·BusinessCloses Nov 21
Will Tesla announce it will stop Cybertruck production in 2027?
75%
Stable · last 24h
306 bets · 13.3K credits2
Details →🛢️Other·EnergyCloses Nov 11 · Results Nov 18
Will Brent oil close at least $108 per barrel on November 13?
30%
+3% last 24h
247 bets · 9.1K credits4
Details →🏢Other·BusinessCloses Nov 11 · Results Nov 12
Will any supermarket company with stores in Europe say its in‑store refrigeration systems were hacked or compromised?
57%
+1% last 24h
237 bets · 10.1K credits3
Details →