Will Netanyahu's Likud plus parties reported as his allies hold at least 61 Knesset seats?

🤖 Context

YES if the official final Knesset seat allocation following Israel's October 2026 parliamentary election shows Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud plus parties explicitly reported as his election allies have a combined total of at least 61 seats, otherwise NO. • Only the official final seat allocation counts, not provisional results. • A party counts as an ally only if at least two independent authoritative news outlets explicitly describe it as "Netanyahu's allies" or "part of Netanyahu's bloc" in their final reporting. • Source: Israeli Central Elections Committee or two independent authoritative outlets reporting the same final combined total (for example Reuters, AP, BBC, Haaretz).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 25%, based on 455 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

25%

Predictions made

455

Credits staked

17,317

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 28, 2026

Closes

Oct 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 25% and NO 75%, based on 455 predictions and 17.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Netanyahu's Likud plus parties reported as his allies hold at least 61 Knesset seats?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Netanyahu's Likud plus parties reported as his allies hold at least 61 Knesset seats?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.