Will the birth of a child to Lady Gaga and Michael Polansky be publicly confirmed?

73%
-8% last 24h

95%
Stable · last 24h
YES if MrBeast appears ranked 1 through 5 on Tubefilter's "Top 50 Most Subscribed YouTube Channels" chart for the week of October 11, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Ties that occupy positions within 1–5 count as being in the top 5. • The chart ranks channels by weekly "subscribers this week" as shown on Tubefilter. • Source: Tubefilter (data by GospelStats).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tubefilter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 95%, based on 336 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThat's how it is
Yes
Given MrBeast's consistent viewership and subscriber growth, it's likely he'll remain in the top 5 during that week. He's a mainstay in the rankings after all.

73%
-8% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

20%
+1% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
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