Will the person detained in connection with Antoine de Massy's death be formally charged with one or more homicide-related criminal offences?

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YES if Miguel Bosé's official X account is restored and either posts at least one message, X issues an official statement saying it was reinstated, or a mainstream news organization reports the reinstatement no later than November 16, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only occurrences on or after November 2, 2026 count. • A new handle only counts if the platform or mainstream outlets explicitly identify it as his official verified account. • Source: X, Agencia EFE, Reuters, Associated Press, El País, 20minutos.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 20minutos.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 23 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timing and those sources, it's likely we'll see the restoration of Miguel Bosé's account within the next couple of weeks. Mainstream outlets will likely cover it when it happens.

85%
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96%
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11%
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30%
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33%
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91%
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