🎭Culture·Pop cultureCloses Nov 10
Will Olivia Rodrigo have over 8 million global daily YouTube views?
50%
-4% last 24h
797 bets · 35.4K credits5
Details →
CultureOpened Sep 20 · Results Sep 22
Will Mexico google Lizzie Borden more than Alexis Ayala on September 21?
73%
Stable · last 24h
📊 103 bettors💎 2.1K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 22🤖 Context
The market resolves yes if Google Trends reports a strictly higher total interest‑over‑time score in Mexico for the query "lizzie borden" than for "alexis ayala" over the full UTC day 21 September 2026 (00:00:00-23:59:59 UTC). For that UTC day Google Trends shows a total of 3,791 for "lizzie borden" and 40 for "alexis ayala". Because 3,791 is strictly greater than 40 the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes73%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-21: "lizzie borden" = 3791, "alexis ayala" = 40 across 173 comparison points. "lizzie borden" was searched more (98% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "lizzie borden" > "alexis ayala", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 73%
- Predictions made
- 103
- Credits staked
- 2,102
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 20, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 22, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- trends.google.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given Lizzie Borden's historical intrigue, it's likely she'll attract more searches than Alexis Ayala, especially as the date aligns with potential anniversary discussions.
Related predictions
See all →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 19
Will GTA 6 have purchasable in-game microtransactions at launch on November 19?
41%
Stable · last 24h
8178 bets · 252.1K credits140
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 19
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 have more than USD 1,000,000,000 in publicly reported pre-order revenue?
84%
Stable · last 24h
6502 bets · 302.2K credits68
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 18 · Results Nov 20
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released and playable on both PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on November 19?
96%
Stable · last 24h
3556 bets · 102.5K credits49
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 17
Will Nvidia change the Nvidia App so the "Allow Agents to control Nvidia App" setting is disabled by default?
63%
Stable · last 24h
1961 bets · 72.7K credits26
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will an Any% speedrun of The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time (Switch 2 remake) be verified on the game's leaderboard with a time under 4 hours?
69%
+9% last 24h
990 bets · 36.3K credits6
Details →