Will Bitcoin be at least USD 81,000 on Binance?
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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 21The market required the official maximum temperature at Mexico City International Airport, as reported by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet, to reach at least 23 °C on October 20, 2026, with readings taken in whole degrees. The station recorded a maximum of 24 °C on October 20, 2026, from 32 observations, with the final reading at 11:40 PM local time. Because 24 °C is at or above the 23 °C threshold, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled64%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: the official station maximum at Mexico City International Airport on 2026-10-20 must be >= 23 °C. Observed value from supplied station data for Tuesday 2026-10-20: recorded max 24 °C (32 observations, last at 23:40 local). Comparison: 24 °C >= 23 °C, so the condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.
Source: mesonet.agron.iastate.eduSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the forecast is 22.7°C, it’s unlikely to hit 23°C on the 20th. Expecting a swing that high in such a short window is unrealistic.
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