Will Bitcoin be at least USD 81,000 on Binance?
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Resolved: No
Results Sep 24The rule says the market is YES if Madrid’s recorded daily maximum temperature on September 23, 2026 is at least 34.0 °C, and NO otherwise. Open-Meteo published a numeric daily maximum of 33.4 °C for Madrid on September 23, 2026. Because 33.4 °C is below the 34.0 °C threshold, the condition is not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled24%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Madrid daily maximum temperature on 2026-09-23 (Europe/Madrid) >= 34.0 °C. Open-Meteo published a recorded numeric daily maximum for 2026-09-23 of 33.4 °C. Comparison: 33.4 °C < 34.0 °C, so the condition is not met. Open-Meteo provided a recorded numeric value and is the preferred source, so this observation decisively settles the market.
Source: api.open-meteo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledThe forecast shows a max of 33.6°C, so it's unlikely to reach 34°C. I'd bet on a NO here, given the tight window and current predictions.
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