Will Bitcoin be at least $80,500 on October 27?

67%
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56%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 27The market pays yes if Open-Meteo reports Madrid's daily maximum temperature on August 26, 2026 as at least 25.0 °C, with AEMET or a major Spanish news outlet allowed as fallbacks if Open-Meteo does not publish a numeric value. Open-Meteo lists Madrid's recorded daily maximum for August 26, 2026 as 28.7 °C. Because 28.7 °C is greater than or equal to 25.0 °C under the rule, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: recorded daily maximum temperature for Madrid on 2026-08-26 >= 25.0 °C. Target date/window: Wednesday 26 August 2026. Observed value (from supplied Open‑Meteo daily temperatures): 2026-08-26 max = 28.7 °C (recorded). Comparison: 28.7 °C ≥ 25.0 °C, so the condition is met and the market resolves YES.
Source: api.open-meteo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledYes, it’s looking good for reaching at least 25°C. The forecast shows 25.4°C, which suggests a solid chance for that day.

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