Will the most-used AI model this week be from OpenAI?

38%
-42% last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, by 11:59:59 PM Pacific Time on October 23, 2026, Apple (for example via an Apple Newsroom announcement or an Apple product/support page) or at least two independent major news outlets report that Apple began customer deliveries/shipments of pre‑ordered iPhone Duo units to customers in the United States. NO if only review or employee units were shipped that day, or if customer deliveries occurred only outside the United States on that date.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple tends to hit its delivery dates, especially with high-demand products like the iPhone. Expect deliveries to start on October 23, as they typically announce this beforehand.

38%
-42% last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h
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