Will the most-used AI model this week be from OpenAI?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi finalizes the market KXTOPUSAGEAI-26SEP07-OPEN with an official YES determination. Kalshi's determination must be based on OpenRouter's "Top Models" weekly token-volume chart for the week of September 7, 2026 showing a single model with the greatest weekly token volume is authored by OpenAI. Ties are handled by OpenRouter's official tie-break method, or by Kalshi's published tie rules if OpenRouter has none, otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 44 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

62%

Predictions made

44

Credits staked

1,604

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 9, 2026

Closes

Sep 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 14, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 62% and NO 38%, based on 44 predictions and 1.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the most-used AI model this week be from OpenAI?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the most-used AI model this week be from OpenAI?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.