Will Grégory Guillotin be formally referred to police/gendarmerie or face a judicial investigation?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than October 15, 2026 the Procureur de la République at the Tribunal judiciaire d'Évry publicly announces that it has either (a) "saisi un service d'enquête" (formally referred the matter to police or gendarmerie) about the complaint described in the HuffPost article, or (b) opened a judicial investigation ("ouverture d'une information judiciaire") or a formal preliminary inquiry ("enquête préliminaire") into Grégory Guillotin in connection with that complaint. Counts as YES if the Parquet issues a statement describing an investigation that matches the complaint's key details even if it does not name Guillotin. Counts as NO if the Parquet only says it received the complaint but that no service was seized or no investigation opened. Uncorroborated social media posts do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against huffingtonpost.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 227 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

86%

Predictions made

227

Credits staked

6,513

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 20, 2026

Closes

Oct 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 16, 2026

Resolution source

huffingtonpost.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 86% and NO 14%, based on 227 predictions and 6.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against huffingtonpost.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Grégory Guillotin be formally referred to police/gendarmerie or face a judicial investigation?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Grégory Guillotin be formally referred to police/gendarmerie or face a judicial investigation?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.