Will the #1 show on Netflix get more than 12 million views?

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Resolved: No
Results Nov 1This market requires SteamCharts' highest hourly concurrent-player count for Counter-Strike 2 on October 31, 2026 (UTC) to be above 1,300,000 for a yes. SteamCharts shows 24 hourly readings that day and the peak hourly count was 1,270,982 at 14:01 UTC on October 31, 2026. Because 1,270,982 is not greater than 1,300,000, the condition is not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled86%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: SteamCharts' highest hourly concurrent-player count for Counter-Strike 2 on 2026-10-31 UTC must be > 1,300,000. Target window: 2026-10-31 00:00–23:59 UTC. Observations (from SteamCharts): 24 hourly readings for 2026-10-31; the peak (highest hourly reading) = 1,270,982 at 2026-10-31 14:01 UTC. Comparison: 1,270,982 is not greater than 1,300,000. Conclusion: NO.
Source: steamcharts.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledYes, probably. Counter-Strike 2 has already reached a peak of 1,265,121 concurrent players in the last 24 hours on SteamCharts, which is only about 35,000 players away from the threshold of 1,300,000.
That's how it is
Given the recent peaks, CS2 hitting 1.3 million seems very likely on Halloween. The last few days have shown it can exceed that. Expecting high engagement for the holiday.

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