Will Bitcoin on Binance be at least $81,200 on Oct 25?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 12The rule required the Binance BTC/USDT kline "open" at 22:00 UTC on 12 October 2026 to be at least 83,500 USDT. At that timestamp the Binance hourly kline open was 82,574.18 USDT. Because 82,574.18 is less than 83,500 the condition was not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Binance BTCUSDT kline 'open' at 2026-10-12T22:00:00Z must be >= $83,500. Target observation: Binance kline open at 2026-10-12 22:00:00 UTC. Observed value(s): hourly kline 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC open = 82574.18 (1-minute kline starting 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC also open = 82574.18). Comparison: 82,574.18 < 83,500, so the condition is not met. Conclusion: NO.
Source: binance.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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