Will Bitcoin be at least $80,500 on October 27?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 18The rule required that the last fully executed trade on Binance's BTC/USDT spot market at or before 10:00:00 UTC on August 18, 2026 be at least $63,500. The last trade recorded at or before that time on Binance was $64,171.95 USDT. Because $64,171.95 is greater than $63,500, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled30%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 70% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Binance BTC/USDT last fully-executed trade price at or before 2026-08-18 10:00:00 UTC >= $63,500. Target instant: 2026-08-18 10:00:00 UTC. Observed value matched from supplied Binance hourly series: 2026-08-18 10:00 UTC = 64171.95 USDT. Comparison: 64171.95 >= 63500.00 is true, so the market resolves YES.
Source: binance.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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