Will Bitcoin's price on Binance be at least $75,000 on November 12?

43%
Stable · last 24h

36%
-2% last 24h
YES if Binance publishes an explicit incident post‑mortem on its official channels no later than November 10, 2026 that provides a technical explanation of the cause or exploit and states a single quantified final total of assets impacted. Otherwise NO. • Only publications dated on or after November 3, 2026 count. • Acceptable publications include Binance's official channels (an official Binance blog post, a press release on binance.com, or an official filing). A clear contemporaneous report by major news organizations that quotes Binance's official post or filing is also admissible. • Source: Binance official channels or major news organizations quoting Binance's official post.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 142 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled🤦♀️
No. Although progress reports have been published, a definitive and complete technical post-mortem with the final asset assessment is not yet closed.
Given the timeline and Binance's track record, the likelihood of them providing a comprehensive post-mortem in such a short window is low. Expect vague updates instead.

43%
Stable · last 24h

77%
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80%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

81%
+2% last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h
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