Will Binance's BTC/USDT price be at least $78,000 on November 2?

41%
Stable · last 24h

84%
+4% last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Nov 1To settle this market we check whether Clutch's finalized archived total for October 31, 2026 shows at least 535 distinct Renfe long- and medium-distance trains whose maximum delay that day was 5 minutes or more. Clutch's finalized archived total for that local calendar day is 529 such trains. Because 529 is less than the required 535, the rule is not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled84%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day of 2026-10-31 must show at least 535 distinct Renfe long- and medium-distance trains whose maximum delay that day was >= 5 minutes. Target day: local calendar day ending 2026-10-31 (Clutch notes coverage ending 2026-10-31 22:59 UTC; daily total finalized 2026-10-31 23:00 UTC). Observed value: Clutch's finalized archived total for that day = 529 distinct Renfe long- and medium-distance trains with maximum delay >= 5 minutes. Comparison: 529 < 535, so the threshold is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent trends with 519 to 542 trains late on similar Saturdays, reaching 535 on October 31 seems plausible, especially with tomorrow's expected operational volume.

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87%
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85%
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87%
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