₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 24 · Results Oct 25
Will Bitcoin on Binance be at least $81,200 on Oct 25?
56%
Stable · last 24h
259 bets · 10.7K credits5
Details →
OtherOpened Oct 12 · Results Oct 13
Will at least 2745 SNCF trains run 5+ minutes late on October 13?
66%
Stable · last 24h
📊 560 bettors💎 22.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 13🤖 Context
The rule requires that Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending October 13, 2026 shows at least 2,745 distinct SNCF trains that each reached a maximum delay of 5 minutes or more between local midnight and 23:59:59 on that date. Clutch's finalized daily total, finalized at 22:02 UTC on October 13, 2026 and covering that local day, reports 2,477 distinct SNCF trains with a maximum delay of at least 5 minutes, with replacement coaches excluded. Because 2,477 is less than 2,745 the condition is not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day 2026-10-13 (window 2026-10-13T00:00:00+02 through 2026-10-13T23:59:59+02) must be at least 2745 distinct SNCF trains whose maximum delay that day was >= 5 minutes. Observed: Clutch's finalized daily total (finalized 2026-10-13 22:02 UTC) covering the local calendar day ending 2026-10-13 21:59 UTC reports 2477 trains with max delay >= 5 minutes (replacement coaches excluded). Comparison: 2477 < 2745, so the condition is not met. Outcome: NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 66%
- Predictions made
- 560
- Credits staked
- 22,680
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Oct 12, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 13, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 14, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 4 comments
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