Will @aldeiadorio 👽 still be #1 on the world Clutch leaderboard by the end of this week?
91%
+6% last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 29The market pays out yes if the total number of bets placed by players on Clutch during the UTC calendar day September 28, 2026 is at least 22,500. Clutch’s finalized count for that UTC day is 25,663 bets. Because 25,663 is greater than or equal to 22,500, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled62%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized count of bets placed by players during the UTC calendar day 2026-09-28 must be >= 22,500. Target window: 2026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00 inclusive up to but excluding 2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00. Observed value: Clutch finalized daily count for 2026-09-28 = 25663 bets (data states: Bets placed by real users on Clutch during the UTC day 2026-09-28: 25663, covering 00:00 UTC through the end of Monday, September 28). Comparison: 25663 >= 22500, so the condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current statistics, the no is MUCH more likely.
To reach 22,500 bets, a huge acceleration would be needed: starting from 57, there are 22,443 bets missing, which is about 1,650 bets/hour for the remaining time. Personally, I would lean towards NO. The current pace displayed is very far from the necessary pace.
Yes
IT'S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN
I clicked the wrong button, how do I go back? 😭😭
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62%
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