Will at least 2,730 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on October 9?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized daily total shows at least 2,730 distinct SNCF trains were 5 or more minutes late on October 9, 2026, no later than 00:00 on October 10, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Each distinct train is counted once using its maximum delay between 00:00 and the cutoff on October 9, 2026. • Replacement coaches or road buses are not counted. • Source: SNCF official open-data feed and Clutch's finalized archive.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 222 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

70%

Predictions made

222

Credits staked

10,627

Comments

5

Opened

Oct 8, 2026

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 9, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 70% and NO 30%, based on 222 predictions and 10.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 2,730 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on October 9?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 2,730 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on October 9?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.