₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 26 · Results Oct 28
Will Bitcoin be at least US$80,000 on October 27?
67%
Stable · last 24h
437 bets · 17K credits5
Details →
OtherOpened Oct 6 · Results Oct 7
Will at least 2,635 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on October 7?
69%
Stable · last 24h
📊 758 bettors💎 31.2K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 7🤖 Context
The market's rule says it is yes if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending October 7, 2026 shows at least 2,635 distinct SNCF trains whose maximum delay that day was 5 or more minutes, with replacement coaches excluded and the total computed from SNCF's official open-data feed. Clutch's finalized archive shows 2,840 distinct SNCF trains reached a maximum delay of 5+ minutes during the local calendar day ending October 7, 2026, excluding replacement coaches, with the snapshot covering the day through October 7, 2026, 21:59 UTC. Because 2,840 is greater than the 2,635 threshold, the condition is met and the outcome is yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes69%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Oct 7, 2026 must show ≥ 2,635 distinct SNCF trains whose maximum delay during the day was 5+ minutes. Target window: local calendar day ending 2026-10-07. Observed value (Clutch finalized archived total): 2,840 trains seen since local midnight whose maximum delay reached 5+ minutes; data states this covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-10-07 21:59 UTC and excludes replacement coaches. Comparison: 2,840 ≥ 2,635, so the condition is met → YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 69%
- Predictions made
- 758
- Credits staked
- 31,169
- Comments
- 9
- Opened
- Oct 6, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 8, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 9 comments
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