Will Article 49.3 be invoked on the 2027 budget bill?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or after 9:19 UTC on November 1, 2026 and no later than November 10, 2026, the Government of France publicly announces that it has invoked Article 49.3 on the 2027 budget bill, or if that invocation is recorded in the Assemblée nationale's official proceedings or in the Journal Officiel with an explicit reference to Article 49.3 and the 2027 budget bill. Otherwise NO. • The announcement must explicitly mention "Article 49.3", "49-3" or equivalent and be on the record. • Informal remarks, anonymous reports, or a mere statement of intent do not count. • Occurrences before 9:19 UTC on November 1, 2026 or published after November 10, 2026 do not count. • Source: Official statement from the French Government (Matignon), the Assemblée nationale's published proceedings, or the Journal Officiel.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 42%, based on 648 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

42%

Predictions made

648

Credits staked

26,344

Comments

7

Opened

Nov 1, 2026

Closes

Nov 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 11, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 42% and NO 58%, based on 648 predictions and 26.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Article 49.3 be invoked on the 2027 budget bill?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Article 49.3 be invoked on the 2027 budget bill?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.