Will Anthropic release Opus 6?

12%
-12% last 24h

30%
-5% last 24h
YES if OpenRouter's published market-share ranking for the week of October 26, 2026 reports Anthropic strictly above 5.8% (rounded to one decimal), otherwise NO. • Kalshi will publish a final YES or NO after applying its contract rules. • If OpenRouter's chart does not list Anthropic separately (for example if it is grouped under "Others"), the result is NO. • Source: Kalshi (based on OpenRouter rankings).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 30%, based on 542 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
12%
-12% last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h

32%
-6% last 24h
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