Will any contract with one or more of the five companies the auditor identified as having received 2.5 billion pesos be suspended or terminated?

🤖 Context

YES if the Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE) publicly announces (via an INE official press release, a signed administrative resolution posted on the INE website, or an on-the-record statement by a named INE official) that it has suspended, canceled, or terminated any contract with any of the five companies the auditor identified as having received 2.5 billion pesos no later than November 14, 2026, otherwise NO. • The INE must explicitly state a suspension, cancellation, or termination. Statements that it will "review" contracts, open an internal inquiry, or refer the matter to another authority do not count. • If a company voluntarily withdraws but the INE issues a public statement acknowledging a suspension or termination, that counts. • Source: Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE) official communications, the INE contracts registry, or publications of the Auditoría Superior de la Federación.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

15

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 31, 2026

Closes

Nov 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 15, 2026

Resolution source

eluniversal.com.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 2 predictions and 15 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against eluniversal.com.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any contract with one or more of the five companies the auditor identified as having received 2.5 billion pesos be suspended or terminated?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any contract with one or more of the five companies the auditor identified as having received 2.5 billion pesos be suspended or terminated?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.