Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26?

62%
+6% last 24h

88%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 13YES if, no later than 20:00 on August 12, 2026, Google publicly announces (on-stage or in the livestream feed) a product explicitly named "Pixel Tag" or "Pixel Tag tracker", and that name appears the same calendar date on an official Google product page or Google blog post. Resolution will rely on Google’s livestream or official Google product/blog pages, or on consistent reporting by major independent tech outlets.
How markets are built and settled88%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent sources corroborate that Google publicly announced a product explicitly named “Pixel Tag” as part of the Made by Google 2026 announcements on Aug 12, 2026. Google’s own product blog published a post titled “Keep tabs on your valuables with Google Pixel Tag” dated Aug 12, 2026, and event coverage from independent outlets (The Verge, TechCrunch, Ars Technica, 9to5Google) list Pixel Tag among the items revealed at the Made by Google event/livestream that began at 6:00 PM ET. Together these independent, credible reports establish that Google publicly announced a product called “Pixel Tag” during the event window by 20:00 ET on 2026-08-12.
Source: blog.googleSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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