Will FURIA fail to reach the Worlds 2026 knockout stage?

85%
Stable · last 24h

36%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 25The market resolves yes if, by 24 September 2026 at 11:59 PM CEST (UTC+2), Rosa Benito is still an active contestant on Telecinco’s Supervivientes All Stars 3, meaning she has not been definitively eliminated, expelled, medically evacuated, or voluntarily withdrawn, and verification uses Telecinco/Mediaset’s official programme pages together with mainstream Spanish TV coverage and episode recaps. On 24 September 2026 El Confidencial and Diez Minutos reported that the gala that night expelled Laura Cuevas, and Mediaset Infinity’s Gala 3 listing and the 24/09/2026 daily summary include Rosa Benito. Because these dated, independent reports show Rosa Benito had not been eliminated, expelled, medically evacuated, or withdrawn by 23:59 CEST on 24 September 2026, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled36%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Based solely on the supplied evidence, multiple independent outlets reporting on the gala of 24 September 2026 show that the week’s eviction removed Laura Cuevas and that Rosa Benito remained in the game. El Confidencial explicitly reports “Laura Cuevas es la expulsada” and that the public chose to keep Rosa Benito and Yola Berrocal; Diez Minutos likewise reports “Laura Cuevas, segunda expulsada”; Mediaset Infinity lists Gala 3 (24 Sep) and includes a 24/09/2026 daily summary featuring Rosa Benito. These independent, dated reports establish that Rosa Benito had not been definitively eliminated, expelled, medically evacuated, or voluntarily withdrawn as of 2026-09-24 23:59 CEST.
Source: elconfidencial.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRosa Benito seems unlikely to be eliminated soon; she's a strong competitor who thrives under pressure. With two weeks left, I expect her to still be in the game.

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