Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 13The market required an official final result from the Solheim Cup organizers, the LPGA, or other authoritative outlets showing Team Europe finished with more match points than Team USA for the match-play contest held September 11–13, 2026 in the Netherlands. The LPGA and multiple credible media reported that Team Europe defeated Team USA 15-13 at the Solheim Cup held at Bernardus Golf, with the event concluding on September 13, 2026. Because those authoritative sources give Europe 15 and USA 13, Europe finished with more match points, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources reporting the final result state that Team Europe defeated Team USA 15–13 at the 2026 Solheim Cup in the Netherlands (Bernardus Golf). The LPGA, Golf Channel, GolfMagic and GolfPost (among others in the evidence) explicitly give Europe 15, USA 13 for the event concluding on Sept 13, 2026, so Europe finished with more match points.
Source: golfmagic.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Europe's strong past performance in the Solheim Cup, they have a fair shot at winning this time, especially with home advantage. Expect a close match, but I'm leaning towards Europe.

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